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Hence, a CASS approach is needed for scenario envisaging to get more realistic assessment results. Furthermore, the CFD method was used to acquire the toxic gas concentration in process facilities under gas release scenarios, which has been proved to be efficient and accurate by many studies. The FR in each scenario is evaluated by dose—response model according to the toxic gas concentration acquired from CFD simulation results.
The accumulative FR considering each scenario probability is calculated to represent the comprehensive toxic gas release poisoning IR. According to the current risk criteria, the IR results of all monitor points can be classified to several levels and be displayed in the form of risk contours in a process facility. The visualized IR contour of a process facility can provide an intuitive method of using these results in emergency management and safety policy decisions.
In this study, in order to focus on the IR assessment, we have not taken the gas detector network into consideration, which may result in an overestimate of the IR values. In the following studies, a model considering the alarm time of gas detectors and personal evacuation will be investigated. This model will produce a more accurate IR.
Integrated Regional Risk Assessment, Vol. II
We will also consider applying DRA method to update the historical leakage data of each equipment type to construct more accurate release scenarios. Another research point lies in optimizing an evacuation pathway under toxic gas release in process factories. This optimization can also be achieved by using the CFD simulation data and stochastic programming method. We also appreciate those who assisted us during this study, the anonymous reviewers and the editor for their constructive comments and suggestions.
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